Отчет по системе Legion за апрель 2017

Весь апрель система Legion была в боковике, несколько провайдеров уходили в глобокие просадки, однако прибыль от других провайдеров вытягивала график. В последние два торговых дня апреля был зафиксирован убыток в размере 11.23%, также имеется плавающая просадка в размере 6.47%. В связи с этим, считаю необходимым разъяснить текущую ситуацию более подробно.

Результаты по провайдерам на master1 за апрель 2017 года:

Основная открытая просадка – по рисковым провайдерам.

По провайдеру HDFX – обновлена максимальная просадка.  На мастере его ММ уменьшен в 5 раз – коэффициент 0.2.

При увеличении просадки до 10% на мастер счете, провайдер будет отключен.

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إيران: نتلقى إشارات إيجابية من دول أوبك وخارجها لتمديد خفض الإنتاج

قال وزير النفط الإيراني بيجن زنغنه يوم السبت إن بلاده تلقت إشارات إيجابية من دول أوبك وخارجها من أجل تمديد خفض الإنتاج الذي ستدعمه طهران أيضا. ومن المقرر أن تعقد منظمة الدول المصدرة للبترول (أوبك) اجتماعا في مايو أيار لمناقشة سياسة إمدادات النفط. وانخفضت أسعار النفط الأسبوع الماضي رغم إغلاقها على سعر أعلى يوم الجمعة […]

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The signal “Two Pyramids”. Report for April + 17.90%.

The first half of April was very calm. The second half was full of events that made the markets move well. Tensions around Korea, the first round of elections in France, the expectation of the publication of a new tax policy by Donald Trump. This allowed us to increase the balance by 17.90%. Total income for five months was 590%.

Drawdown this month reached 32.58%. The size of the drawdown is not critical, but loss management is the backbone of the strategy “Two Pyramids”. In the future, we will try not to allow such a size drawdown.

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Forex Forecast for EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY and USDCHF for 01 – 05 May 2017

First, a review of last week’s forecast:

– When giving the forecast for EUR/USD, 35% of experts and indicators on D1 insisted that it should return to the highs of February and March 2017. This is what happened in response to the first round of the French presidential elections. Having established an impressive gap at the opening of the weekly session, the pair rose to 1.0900, where it spent the whole week, turning this level into a Power Point;

– after an inspiring leap upwards on 18 March, GBP/USD reacted calmly to the elections in France: there were no gaps and, instead, there was a smooth increase by 180 points during the week. The roots of this growth are at the support at 1.2775, which used to be the upper limit of six-month long side channel;

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USDCHF: Turns Off Lower Level Prices

USDCHF: The pair closed higher on Friday following its turn off lower prices. This development now leaves it targeting further upside in the new week. On the downside, support lies at the 0.9900 level. A turn below here will open the door for more weakness towards the 0.9850 level and then the 0.9800 level. On the upside, resistance resides at the 1.0000 level where a break will clear the way for more strength to occur towards the 1.0050 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.0100 level. All in all, USDCHF faces further recovery risk though with caution.

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Hamas: ‘We will oblige Israel to free Palestinian prisoners’

Hamas leader Khalid Meshaal promised yesterday that his movement would “oblige” Israel to free “all the Palestinian prisoners” currently being held inside its jails, Turkish state-run Anadolu Agency reported.

Speaking to the Palestinian Al-Quds TV, Meshaal also stated his support for the Palestinian prisoners who have been on a mass hunger strike inside Israeli jails for 13 days.“We will oblige Israel to pay the price for freeing the Palestinian prisoners from its jails,” he said, stating that it will “not take much time to let the prisoners unite with their families.”

He pointed out that his movement had “contributed to freeing Palestinian prisoners from Israeli jails a couple of years ago,” stressing that it is able to “oblige” Israeli to free more prisoners today.

Calling upon everyone to do their best to free Palestinian prisoners, Meshaal said:

All of us are currently invited not to spare any efforts for the sake of the prisoners. This is a religious, legal, humanitarian and fraternal responsibility.

The Hamas top leader stated that the crisis of the Palestinian prisoners “unites” all Palestinian politicians irrespective of their factional loyalty. “We must unite for the sake of their freedom,” he said.

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Why Gold’s Quiet Accumulation by Central Banks Is Important for Investors

Alan Greenspan has recently stated that gold is a good place to put money these days given its value as a currency outside of the policies conducted by governments and central banks. Moreover, the former Fed Chairman has said “significant increases in inflation will ultimately increase the price of gold. Investment in gold is now insurance.”

Since the global financial system is under enormous stress due to failed government policy and unprecedented central bank intervention it is appropriate to take the time to reassess gold’s place in the financial universe. Is gold just a shiny relic of bygone financial eras or is it the most widely recognized and universally accepted reserve asset upon which the global financial system depends?

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Here are the currency-market winners — and losers — from Trump’s first 100 days

The first 100 days of the Trump administration has been a particularly exciting time for financial markets, primarily because many of Wall Street’s assumptions about how markets would react to the Republican’s purportedly pro-growth policies were way off base.

Remember when Wall Street analysts believed Treasury yields would break above 3% in short order? They’re now closer to 2%.

But possibly the most exciting action occurred in the currency market, where traders who had the temerity to bet against the consensus reaped the biggest returns.

From the Mexican peso, to the Japanese yen, to the U.S. dollar — here’s a breakdown of the market’s biggest winners and losers.

The winners

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EUR/USD Forecast: Dollar in trouble ahead of Fed’s meeting

What a way for the EUR/USD pair to close April! The common currency surged to fresh 2017, gapping around 200 pips on Sunday, amid the result of the first round of the French presidential election. Centrist Emmanuel Macron and  populist candidate Marine Le Pen advanced to the second round of the French presidential election, with the first leading with 23.7 and Le Pen pulling in 21.7%. The two of them will now confront  on the second round, next May 7, and polls show that Mr. Macron has solid chances of winning.  The common currency rallied on relief as Le Pen is seen by investors as a synonym of “Frexit.”

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Emerging Market Asia

EM Asia

With 100 days of unexpected clear sailing for Asia FX under our belts, local EM currencies continued to strengthen despite the reflationary trade fading and commodity prices flagging as inflows remain robust with the greenback floundering and   US yields falling.Also,  the markets maximal negative view of  US protectionism has given way to a more pragmatic outlook as the US administration are addressing pockets of concern while taking a more fragmentary approach 

Given the disappointments in US policy and economic data since the dovish Fed hike in mid-March, it’s unlikely we’ll see any shift in Fed forward guidance which should continue to support inflows to EM Asia as the USD should remain soft while the Fed dot plots remain unaltered.

Rupee 

The softer US dollar and interest rate environment will continue to support the INR carry trade and investor yield appeal should remain robust.

On the rating front, it’s surprising that India’s credit rating has continued to be a grade above junk and unchanged since 2007. The expected rating upgrade will appeal to a broader spectrum of foreign investors and there should be and acceleration of inflows.

Yuan

The Yuan continues to consolidate with dealers eyeing this week’s PMI gauges.But The near -term fate of the Yuan is very much linked to US interest rates. With 0 expectations for a rate hike during this week’s FOMC, traders will look past this week’s  event and focus on Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls, and the data will likely weigh large in market expectation for June US interest rate hike. Currently, the market is pricing in a 70% probability of a June hike.

Ringgit

The undervalued Ringgit continues to play catch up with its regional peers as the US dollar wobbles, and the local economy remains resilient. While oil prices remain a concern, the outlook remains uncertain. But with the Ringgit and Malaysia assets underweight, there should be a strong appeal in this benign Federal Reserve environment and even more so as the BNM introduces more onshore market liberalisations initiatives down the road. As such expect  Malaysia  Bonds to continue rallying  with robust offshore demand

Won

Geopolitical concerns continue to hobble the Won, but the KRW should strengthen once these concerns eventually fade. But with Sabres still rattling investors will likely view other ASEAN currencies a bit more favourably until the war clouds dissipate.

 

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