‘Aspiring Pastor’ Hillary Goes From Seances And SpiritCooks To Bible Thumping

Content originally published at iBankCoin.com

According to deep state’s department of brand management & optics Atlantic division, the ever-pious Hillary Clinton wants to become a pastor – a move which is sure to bring religious rust-belt swing voters back to the blue side for any future political endeavors…

“Hillary Clinton wants to preach. That’s what she told Bill Shillady, her longtime pastor, at a recent photo shoot for his new book about the daily devotionals he sent her during the 2016 campaign. Scattered bits of reporting suggest that ministry has always been a secret dream of the two-time presidential candidate: Last fall, the former Newsweek editor Kenneth Woodward revealed that Clinton told him in 1994 that she thought “all the time” about becoming an ordained Methodist minister. She asked him not to write about it, though: “It will make me seem much too pious.” The incident perfectly captures Clinton’s long campaign to modulate—and sometimes obscure—expressions of her faith.” –The Atlantic

Because what better way to make people forget about a massive pay-for-play scheme, raping Haiti, and a bitchy image than God?

Seances

While Hillary has apparently been in the closet for decades over her desire to preach, she turned heads in the 90’s when investigative journalist Bob Woodward wrote in his book ‘The Choice,” that Clinton “held imaginary conversations with Eleanor Roosevelt and Mahatma Ghandi as therapeutic release.” When an advisor suggested that she communicate with Jesus Christ, she declined, saying it would be “too personal.”

Satanic Idols

In 1993, the president of Wellesley College approved a new rule that all senior theses written by a president or first lady of the United States would be kept under lock and key, a move aimed at preventing the public from learning about their new First Lady. After the Clintons left the White House, however, Hillary’s senior thesis was released to the public – a 92 page homage to radical leftist Saul Alinsky, who dedicated his book to Lucifer.

Hillary describes Alinsky as a “neo-Hobbesian who objects to the conventional mystique surrounding political processes; for him, conflict is the route to power.”

Kind of like Satan, or Jihad.

That’s the spirit! 

I’m sure you remember #Spiritcooking satanist Marina Abramovic from 2016 election Wikileaks  who Tony Podesta gave money to, who was invited to Hillary Clinton’s Campaign launch, whose art Hillary Clinton placed in US embassies around the world, who Hillary wanted to invite to a lunch event, who donated the maximum $2700 to Hillary’s campaign, and who said in a Reddit AMA (“Ask Me Anything”) that her spirit cooking dinners in private homes are not art.

I think it’s safe to say that Hillary Clinton is a fan of Marina Abramovic, whose ‘art’ probably wouldn’t go over so well with the Methodist congregation Hillary apparently wants to preach to.

While Hillary’s base is sure to lap up her new ‘revelation’ about her faith, the rest of us aren’t buying it…

What will they cook up next?

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The Market Has Never Done This Before

A fascinating statistic about the current no-vol state of the market, courtesy of Deutsche's Jim Reid, who points out that the last time we had 13 consecutive days in which the S&P moved less than 0.3% in either direction was... never:

... all you really need to know about markets at the moment is that yesterday's move in the S&P 500 (+0.16%) added to the record daily run of less than 0.3% moves in either direction. It’s now 13 days since we had a larger move using daily data back to 1927. The second longest streak of this length was of 10 days which has happened twice in history. The most recent time was in England's solitary football World Cup winning year (06 Jan 1966 - 19 Jan 1966), and the other between 15 Nov 1961 and 29 Nov 1961. So these continue to be remarkable financial times we are living through.

Another way of showing the above is with the S&P's closing prints over the same period: 2474, 2473, 2473, 2470, 2477, 2478, 2475, 2472, 2470, 2476, 2478, 2472, 2477, 2481

And here is some more from Reid:

To put the steady but relentless rally in the S&P in context, it is now 73 trading days since the S&P increased by more than 1% in any one day. Give it another 7 days and we will beat the prior record set back in November 06 and March 07. Although, given the current lull in the activity (VIX now back to below 10), we might even get close to the 100 day record set back in mid-July 1995 to early Dec 1995.

This is just another piece of evidence for Canaccord's thesis that traders are not complacent, they are simply "paralyzed."

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Silver Mining Production Plummets 27% At Top Four Silver Miners

Silver Mining Production Plummets 27% At Top Four Silver Miners

by SRSRocco Report

In an interesting change of events, production at four of the top primary silver miners plummeted during the second quarter of 2017.

This goes well beyond normal fluctuations in mining companies production figures during different quarterly reporting periods. The company with the least percentage decline in silver production still suffered a 20% reduction of mine supply in the second quarter.

According to recently released company data, silver production declined between 20-34% from these four primary silver miners during the second quarter. The company that suffered the biggest decline in silver production was Hecla at -34%, followed by Endeavour Silver at -26%, Silver Standard at -24% and First Majestic with a decrease of 20% (see table above).

Total silver production from these four primary silver miners fell 27%, from 11 million oz (Moz) during Q2 2016, to 8 Moz Q2 2017. We can see the breakdown in the chart below:

The second largest percentage decline in silver production was from Endeavour Silver. Production at Endeavour Silver fell from 1.6 Moz in the second quarter of 2016 to 1.1 Moz in Q2 2017. This 26% decline in silver mine supply was blamed on several factors:

Reduction in capital and exploration expenditures in the beginning of 2016 due to lower silver prices, but the company has increased spending once again in the second half of 2016
narrowing veins, falling ore grades and less ore processing due to a reduced capital expenditures in the beginning of 2016
less access to mine areas as pump failures due to power overloading caused flooding in some portions of the mines
This huge decline in silver production at Endeavour Silver, plus falling earnings, impacted its stock price which fell 16% in one day after the news.

Silver Standard (renamed SSR Mining) which suffered a 24% decrease in silver production saw its mine supply fall to 1.9 Moz in Q2 2017 versus 2.5 Moz during the same period last year. This steep reduction in the company’s silver mine supply was due to the closure of their Pirquitas open-pit mine. SSR Mining’s mine plan for Pirquitas was to move from open-pit operations to underground mining. Silver production at Pirquitas for the remainder of 2017 will be from processing of open-pit stockpiled ore.

Furthermore, SSR Mining will be supplementing silver production from its Pirquitas underground mine from new venture called Chinchillas project located 45 km from Pirquitas. However, production from the Chinchillas project is not expected to begin until the second half of 2018.

The company that experienced the least percentage decline of silver production in the group was First Majestic. Silver production at First Majestic fell 20% from 2.8 Moz during Q2 2016 compared to 2.3 Moz Q2 2017. Production declines at First Majestic were due to mine stoppages at several projects due to unionized worker disputes and labor issues. In addition, declining silver yields of approximately 8% also attributed the decline in Q2 2017 silver production versus the same period last year.

So, we can see how labor disputes, falling ore grades and power outages have negatively impacted many of the top primary silver miners in the industry. Of course, not all primary silver miners experienced declines in production.

For example, Couer Mining reported the same silver production of 4.0 Moz in Q2 2017 as well as in the same period last year. Fortuna actually saw its production increase 36% from 1.6 Moz Q2 2016 to 2.1 Moz Q2 2017. We are still awaiting release of Pan American Silver and Tahoe Resources results next week. However, Tahoe’s Flagship Escobal Silver Mine was shut down by the Guatemalan Supreme Court on July 6th due to suspension of its license based on allegations of human rights violations and the failure of local support for the mine.

Now, this didn’t impact Tahoe’s silver production at its Escobal Mine during the second quarter of 2017, but it will for the second half, if the Guatemalan Supreme Court does not allow operations to return for the remainder of the year. I wrote about this in my recent article, WORLD’S SECOND LARGEST SILVER MINE SHUT DOWN: Implications For Company & Market.

Investors in silver mining companies are dealing with issues that are out of their hands. While I believe that some of these mining share prices will explode higher when the silver price finally takes off, it takes a great deal of patience and fortitude to continue investing as mining companies deal with all these issues that impact not only production, but their profitability as well.

Here is a breakdown of either Adjusted or Net Incomes of these Top Primary Silver Companies:

Hecla = $15.5 million Adjusted Income Loss

First Majestic = $3.6 million Adjusted Income Loss

Endeavour Silver = $16 thousand Net Income Loss

Silver Standard = $19 million Adjusted Income Gain (due to two gold mines)

Coeur Mining = $2.5 million Adjusted Income Loss

Out of the four primary silver mines that suffered big declines in production, all experienced adjusted or net income losses except Silver Standard. The only reason Silver Standard reported a profit was due to its two gold mines. Furthermore, even though Couer Mining did not suffer a reduction in silver production, it reported a $2.5 million adjusted income loss for Q2 2017.

I like to use Adjusted Incomes because it factors out financial inputs that are not directly associated with producing silver from the mine during that quarter. Adjusted Income gives us a more realistic figure for the profitability of producing silver from the mine, rather than Net Income that includes derivatives exposure, impairments and gain-loss on sales of properties… to name a few.

Lastly, it takes a lot of effort, expertise and management skill to produce silver. Unfortunately, just when a silver mining company believes it has a good grasp of its operations and future forecasts, a wrench or series of wrenches can be thrown into the engine to mess things up. We are seeing that now as four of the top primary silver mining companies deal with negative issues impacting production and profitability. Actually, five when we include Tahoe Resources and their ongoing problems and conflicts with local Guatemalan peoples on human rights abuse.

That being said, huge production declines at these primary silver miners haven’t impacting the market price because fundamentals aren’t playing their roll any longer as the Fed and Central Banks continue to print trillions of Dollars to support the STOCK, BOND and REAL ESTATE markets.

However, at some point, the Fed and Central Banks will lose control… and lose control BADLY. When they do, patience and fortitude by investors in precious metals and their mining companies will be generously rewarded. Unfortunately, most investors following the fickle nature of the public, only stay in an investment that is a WINNER.

So, I will continue to read comments by disillusioned precious metals investors who don’t have either the patience of fortitude to remain committed in the precious metals space until the point when FUNDAMENTALS matter once again.

Full Article in SRSRocco Report


News and Commentary

Gold finishes slightly higher, avoids 4-session skid (MarketWatch.com)

China’s Gold reserves to surpass 4,000 tons (GlobalTimes.cn)

China FX reserves unexpectedly hit 9-month, Gold reserves rose to $75.1B from $73.6B in (Reuters.com)

World stocks reach new peak in world full of surprises (Reuters.com)

Payment in Gold Bullion Banned Under New Law to Combat Tax Evasion (TheGuardian.com)

SGE Withdrawals were 144.71 tonnes for the month of July. Source:Goldchartsrus

Four Top Primary Silver Miners Production Plummets (SRSRoccoReport.com)

Key Test Ahead In Silver (SilverSeek.com)

Gold in Stealth Mode (AgoraFinancial.com)

Cashed-Up Australian Gold Miners Set to Take Deals Global (Bloomberg.com)

Fed Enabled Corporate Kingpins To Scalp Billions (DailyReckoning.com)

Gold Prices (LBMA AM)

08 Aug: USD 1,261.45, GBP 967.78 & EUR 1,068.20 per ounce
07 Aug: USD 1,257.55, GBP 963.41 & EUR 1,065.90 per ounce
04 Aug: USD 1,269.30, GBP 964.92 & EUR 1,068.37 per ounce
03 Aug: USD 1,261.80, GBP 952.41 & EUR 1,064.96 per ounce
02 Aug: USD 1,266.65, GBP 956.83 & EUR 1,069.56 per ounce
01 Aug: USD 1,267.05, GBP 957.76 & EUR 1,072.30 per ounce
31 Jul: USD 1,266.35, GBP 965.59 & EUR 1,079.06 per ounce

Silver Prices (LBMA)

08 Aug: USD 16.39, GBP 12.57 & EUR 13.87 per ounce
07 Aug: USD 16.13, GBP 12.35 & EUR 13.67 per ounce
04 Aug: USD 16.70, GBP 12.71 & EUR 14.07 per ounce
03 Aug: USD 16.47, GBP 12.50 & EUR 13.91 per ounce
02 Aug: USD 16.67, GBP 12.60 & EUR 14.09 per ounce
01 Aug: USD 16.74, GBP 12.67 & EUR 14.17 per ounce
31 Jul: USD 16.76, GBP 12.77 & EUR 14.29 per ounce


Recent Market Updates

- Gold Consolidates On 2.5% Gain In July After Dollar Has 5th Monthly Decline
- Gold Coins and Bars See Demand Rise of 11% in H2, 2017
- Greenspan Warns Stagflation Like 1970s “Not Good For Asset Prices”
- What Investors Can Learn From the Japanese Art of Kintsukuroi
- Bitcoin, ICO Risk Versus Immutable Gold and Silver
- This Is Why Shrinkflation Is Making You Poor
- Gold A Good Store Of Value – Protect From $217 Trillion Global Debt Bubble
- Why Surging UK Household Debt Will Cause The Next Crisis
- Gold Seasonal Sweet Spot – August and September – Coming
- Commercial Property Market In Dublin Is Inflated and May Burst Again
- Gold Hedges Against Currency Devaluation and Cost Of Fuel, Food, Beer and Housing
- Millennials Can Punt On Bitcoin, Own Gold and Silver For Long Term
- “Time To Position In Gold Is Right Now” says Jim Rickards

Important Guides

For your perusal, below are our most popular guides in 2017:

Essential Guide To Storing Gold In Switzerland

Essential Guide To Storing Gold In Singapore

Essential Guide to Tax Free Gold Sovereigns (UK)

Please share our research with family, friends and colleagues who you think would benefit from being informed by it.

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Saudi Arabia will reportedly cut oil supplies to most buyers in Asia by up to 10% in September

State oil company Saudi Aramco will cut crude oil allocations to its customers worldwide in September by at least 520,000 barrels per day, an industry source familiar with the matter told Reuters on...

crude oil

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Will Europe Rebel Against U.S. Sanctions?

Authored by Curt Mills via National Interest,

In comprehensively punishing Moscow, Washington risks further cleaving itself from senior European leadership.

The United States finalized new sanctions against Moscow last week, roping it in with perennial bad actors Iran and North Korea. Despite complaints from Donald Trump and Rex Tillerson—the pair of ex-CEOs that now lead U.S. foreign policy—the administration assented to the “flawed” package on Wednesday. While Trump is sometimes accused of abandoning the trans-Atlantic alliance and scuttling the post-war order, the president now risks further damage to relations with many in Europe by targeting Russia with fresh sanctions.

Hawks in Washington are clearly taking notice of the European position. “Europe’s opposition to the sanctions is troubling. You can’t on one hand ask for a bigger U.S. military commitment to the continent while on the other hand oppose nonmilitary coercive measures,” Boris Zilberman, a Russia analyst at the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies, told me. A central plank in Europe’s concern is energy—the continent is quite reliant on Russian energy (something Ronald Reagan famously warned the Europeans against during the Cold War). “It is déjà vu all over again. Back in the 1980s the Reagan administration targeted Soviet energy exports, specifically pipeline projects. Europeans saw it as a double whammy for them, undercutting their energy security and—given potential secondary sanctions on many firms involved—penalizing their companies,” says Clay Clemens, an expert on German politics at the College of William & Mary.

In particular, a project called Nord Stream 2 between Europe’s central player, Germany, and Russia’s controversial energy company Gazprom could be affected by the sanctions. In addition to Gazprom, the deal has investments from European companies; its signatories aim to carry natural gas under the Baltic Sea. “Some Germans quietly hope that [Nord Stream 2] could transform their country into a European energy hub,” The Economist noted in June. The Ukrainian crisis is also at play here: the project would allow Russia “to bypass existing pipelines in Ukraine, depriving the Ukrainians of lucrative transit fees,” the outlet noted.

But the United States and the EU are not united, and Europe is feuding internally over how to handle this, as well. In contrast to Germany, the Brits haven’t stood in Washington’s way. “We agree that it is important to send a message to Moscow that Russian actions in Ukraine and Syria, interference in the domestic affairs of other countries, and undermining of the rule of law, will be met with a strong response,” a United Kingdom official told me, indicating London didn’t find the legislation abrasive and praising the sanctions for emphasizing “the importance of transatlantic unity.” The Baltic states and Poland, Russia-weary and opposed to Nord Stream 2, have gone along with the sanctions, and would potentially block more radical retaliation by the EU. European Council president Donald Tusk, the former Polish prime minister, has also criticized Nord Stream 2. Vice President Pence was in Estonia earlier this week, and Poland hosted Trump ahead of the G20 summit last month, where he seemingly received a hero’s welcome in a country that has moved dramatically rightward in recent years.

But elsewhere in Europe, including in the EU leadership, there is great concern. In startling language Wednesday, European Commission president Jean-Claude Juncker, of Luxembourg, appeared to treat the U.S.-Europe alliance as a potentially open question. “The U.S. Congress has now also committed to only apply sanctions after the country’s allies are consulted. And I do believe we are still allies,” he said in a statement, with his office noting that “if the US sanctions specifically disadvantage EU companies trading with Russia in the energy sector the EU is prepared to take appropriate steps in response within days.” “We are prepared,” Juncker told a Brussels radio station Wednesday. “We must defend our economic interests vis-à-vis the United States. And we will do that.”

The German establishment is apoplectic, directly accusing the United States of trying to enrich itself economically—the sanctions are paired with provisions encouraging Europe to buy U.S. natural gas. In the era of President “take the oil” Trump and an Exxon Secretary of State, some are suspicious of American motives like never before. “One is left with the sense that the United States is looking to its own economic interests,” Volker Trier, the head of the German Chamber of Industry and Commerce, said last week. In the 1980s, “there was also a sense that the US sanctions were designed to reduce competition for American energy exports,” Clemens noted to me.

Wary of bucking Germany, France has also expressed reservations about the sanctions. “Any conflict in the Paris-Berlin axis is potentially suicidal for Europe at this point,” Vincent Michelot of Sciences Po Lyon tells me. The French foreign ministry said last month the language passed out of the House looked illegal. This Parisian dismissal comes at a time when Trump seems to be cultivating a relationship with the new French president, Emmanuel Macron, who Michelot says is trying to set himself up as an “indispensable mediator” in European and international affairs.

If Ukraine is one nonobvious tripwire in this dispute, Syria is another. Macron has tacitly backed a future for Syrian president Bashar al-Assad, in a major change in French policy. “It is a radical departure from Hollande’s strong stance that there could not be any political resolution of the Syrian conflict with Assad around the negotiation table,” Cecile Alduy of the France-Stanford Center told me. “More importantly, Macron is contradicting himself on this . . . In early April, he was in favor of a military intervention against Assad.” Prolonged, public disputes between Berlin, Paris and Washington could imperil efforts at even unrelated negotiations, however.

In the end, Europe, especially with Germany in the lead, might take a pass on a full-scale feud. Europe “cannot allow the relationship with Russia to sink to the level of the U.S.-Russia confrontation,” Michelot says. “The preference [in most of Europe] is still for some kind of constructive engagement policy, despite EU sanctions after Ukraine,” Clemens says, but cautions: “Of course, overall, it is a tough balance for Merkel in particular to strike, since she has been the leader most skeptical of Putin.

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Sessions Humiliates Rahm: “No Amount Of Federal Funds Will Help A City That Refuses To Help Its Own Residents”

All the latest moves coming from Jeff Sessions would seem to imply that the beleaguered Attorney General has every intent of aggressively pushing forward with Trump's agenda in order to mend broken fences with the White House and try to keep his job.  The latest such move comes in the form of the following rather direct official statement from Sessions in response to Chicago's lawsuit filed earlier this morning regarding federal funding, or lack thereof rather, for sanctuary cities.

Among other things, Sessions scolded Chicago's Mayor, Rahm Emanuel, saying that "no amount of federal taxpayer dollars will help a city that refuses to help its own residents."  Meanwhile, Sessions also took direct aim at Chicago's soaring violent crime rate pointing out, as we have on many occasions, that the city recorded more murders in 2016 than New York and L.A. combined.

“No amount of federal taxpayer dollars will help a city that refuses to help its own residents."

 

“This administration is committed to the rule of law and to enforcing the laws established by Congress. To a degree perhaps unsurpassed by any other jurisdiction, the political leadership of Chicago has chosen deliberately and intentionally to adopt a policy that obstructs this country’s lawful immigration system. They have demonstrated an open hostility to enforcing laws designed to protect law enforcement — Federal, state, and local — and reduce crime, and instead have adopted an official policy of protecting criminal aliens who prey on their own residents. This is astounding given the unprecedented violent crime surge in Chicago, with the number of murders in 2016 surpassing both New York and Los Angeles combined. The city’s leaders cannot follow some laws and ignore others and reasonably expect this horrific situation to improve."

 

“The Mayor complains that the federal government’s focus on enforcing the law would require a ‘reordering of law enforcement practice in Chicago.’ But that’s just what Chicago needs: a recommitment to the rule of law and to policies that rollback the culture of lawlessness that has beset the city."

 

“This administration will not simply give away grant dollars to city governments that proudly violate the rule of law and protect criminal aliens at the expense of public safety. So it’s this simple: Comply with the law or forego taxpayer dollars.”

Sessions

 

Of course, the comment from Sessions came in response to a lawsuit filed by Emanuel this morning aimed at preventing the Trump administration from withholding money from cities that deny U.S. immigration officials access to local jails.  Per Reuters:

The lawsuit, filed in U.S. District Court, said the federal policies force the nation's third largest city to choose between its constitutional rights and funding for law enforcement.

 

"These new conditions also fly in the face of longstanding City policy that promotes cooperation between local law enforcement and immigrant communities," the lawsuit said.

 

"We are bringing this legal challenge because the rhetoric, the threats from this administration embodied in these new conditions imposed on unrelated public safety grants funds are breeding a culture and climate of fear,” Emanuel's senior legal adviser, Corporation Counsel Ed Siskel, said on Monday.

 

The conditions from the Justice Department apply to the Edward Byrne Memorial Justice Assistance Grants, which provide money to hundreds of cities. Chicago is expected to receive $3.2 million this year for purchasing equipment.

The lawsuit came nearly two weeks after Sessions said the Justice Department would bar cities from the Byrne program unless they allowed immigration authorities unlimited access to local jails and gave immigration officials a 48 hour pre-release notice before releasing criminal aliens back onto the streets.

Of course, setting aside your views on federal funding for sanctuary cities for a moment, the irony of the situation is that taxpayers will ultimately end up spending well in excess of the $3.2 million due to the city of Chicago on lawyers to litigate whether or not a rogue mayor has the right to randomly choose which federal laws he will or will not enforce...only in America.

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Kids As Young As FOUR YEARS OLD Sent To Summer Camp For Silicon Valley Trannies

Content originally published at iBankCoin.com

Parents in California are sending their children to the ‘Bay Area Rainbow Day Camp’ for Transgender and ‘nonbinary’ children as young as FOUR YEARS OLD – where curious ‘gender expansive’ kids can play with each other in a ‘community of peers that will provide a safe space for the exploration of gender identity and expression.’

For children 13-17, ‘camp Kickin’ It’ offers a ‘social day camp for gender non binary, questioning, genderqueer, and trans teens to explore Bay Area activities and gender identity in a safe space in a community of their peers.

Via Fox News:

The camp seems like any other. Children arrive with a packed lunch, make friendship bracelets, sing songs and get silly. But each day at check-in, campers make a nametag with their pronoun of choice. Some opt for “she” or “he” while others choose “they” or something else.

And enrollment at the camp is booming. The number of children at the San Francisco Bay area camp has tripled to about 60 youngsters, from age 4 to 12, since it opened three summers ago, with kids coming from as far away as Los Angeles, Washington, D.C. and even Africa. There is talk of opening branches of the camp across the country.

Founded by Sandra Collins, mother of a transgender 9 year old, the Rainbow Day Camp is the ultimate safe space.

“A lot of these kids have been bullied and had trauma at school. This is a world where none of that exists, and they’re in the majority,” Collins said. “That’s a new experience for kids who are used to hiding and feeling small.”

Specialists consulted

‘Gender specialists’ say the camp’s popularity reflects the increase in children coming out as transgender at young ages – a phenomenon credited to greater awareness of LGBT issues, as well as parents noticing that their kids are showing signs of ‘gender dysphoria,’ or distress about their gender.

Enabled or encouraged?

It’s tough to find widespread agreement outside of California’s ‘gender specialists’ on the topic of gender dysphoria at a young age. In a June article by three medical experts entitled “Growing Pains: Problems with Puberty Suppression in Treating Gender Dysphoria,” the authors write that allowing a child to explore transgenderism and other ‘gender fluid’ identities ‘may drive some children to persist in identifying as transgender when they might otherwise have, as they grow older, found their gender to be aligned with their sex.”

In fact, the authors posit that “the interference with normal pubertal development will influence the gender identity of the child by reducing the prospects for developing a gender identity corresponding to his or her biological sex.”

Let’s just let kids be kids? 

While many would say sending kids as young as age four to a transexual summer camp is child abuse, perhaps the camp for older 13 – 17 year olds – in the throes of puberty and it’s raging hormones – isn’t such a bad idea, especially considering the vast difference in suicide rates in supported vs. unsupported youths who later identify as their non-biologicial gender.

Via Fox:

Studies show transgender adults have higher rates of suicide and depression than the general population. A 2016 study by the University of Washington’s TransYouth Project, published in the journal Pediatrics, found trans children who live as their preferred gender and are supported by their parents have the same mental health outcomes as other kids their age.

Meanwhile, it’s 2017 and we’re talking about transgender children. Discuss.

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Debt Ceiling Deal Doubts Rise – USA Default Risk Hasn’t Done This Since Lehman

The US Treasury Bill market remains notably inverted around the uncertain timing of the US debt limit debacle.

As Bloomberg reports, while Treasury bills maturing in October continue underperforming against November and December securities, the market has a murky view on the drop-dead date for the U.S. debt ceiling.

At the start of last week, concerns shifted to early October after the Treasury said in its 3Q refunding statement that it expects to be able to fund the govt through the end of September.

 

Focus then shifted back toward mid-October after the head of the House Freedom Caucus said he is ready to accept a debt ceiling increase without other conditions

 

However, one more worrisome market is starting to notably wake up to the reality of a deeply divided congress unable to agree on anything. The market for sovereign credit risk is flashing red with USA 5Y CDS now trading at its most extreme levels to German 5Y CDS since Lehman.

Note that the current credit-risk-premium for US Treasuries is higher than it was during 2013's government shutdown and 2015's down-to-the-wire debt ceiling debate.

 

But while Treasury and credit markets are flashing red anxiety levels, the VIX curve is doing the exact opposite and pricing in a relative drop in volatility... before a resurgence in the start of 2018...

 

So T-Bills worry about early October... VIX worries about year-end... and CDS confirm they have a problem. Who will be right?

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Peter Thiel Reportedly Says “There’s A 50% Chance” Current Presidency “Ends In Disaster”

Trump is not particularly popular among the billionaire crowd of Silicon Valley, to say the least.  As such, when the billionaire co-founder of PayPal endorsed Trump for President, donated 'bigly' to his campaign and even agreed to speak at the Republican National Convention last summer, it was a 'yuge' deal.

But, at least if you're willing to believe the anonymous sources of BuzzFeed News, the honeymoon phase between Thiel and Trump may have ended a few months ago.  While Thiel has continued to support Trump in public, personal friends who have attended dinners with him in recent months say he has soured on the administration of late and even intimated to friends that "there is a 50% chance this whole thing ends in disaster."

Donald Trump’s most prominent Silicon Valley supporter has distanced himself from the president in multiple private conversations, describing at different points this year an “incompetent” administration, and one that may well end in “disaster.”

 

Peter Thiel’s unguarded remarks have surprised associates, some of whom are still reeling from his full-throated endorsement of Trump at the Republican National Convention. And while the investor stands by the president in public — “I support President Trump in his ongoing fight," he said in a statement to BuzzFeed News — his private doubts underscore the fragility of the president's backing from even his most public allies. Thiel’s comments may sting in particular in the White House as they they come amid a series of hasty and embarrassed departures from the Trump train, as conservative voices from the Wall Street Journal’s editorial page to the floor of the US Senate have begun to distance themselves from the administration.

 

The sources who talked with BuzzFeed News spent time with Thiel in private group settings before and after the election at his homes in Los Angeles, San Francisco, and Hawaii, engaging in candid discussions on the PayPal cofounder’s politics and his backing of Trump. At one event with friends in January 2017, Thiel said of Trump’s presidency that “there is a 50% chance this whole thing ends in disaster,” according to two people who were in attendance. In other conversations, he questioned the president’s ability to be reelected.

Thiel

 

Meanwhile, other personal friends have reportedly told BuzzFeed that Thiel never really had high hopes for the Trump administration describing it as "incompetent" and suggesting that Trump will most likely be a one-term president.

At a gathering at his home in Los Angeles the weekend before the election, a source in attendance said Thiel reiterated that point. But in at least one private conversation, Thiel admitted he didn’t have much confidence in either candidate. Whoever wins, he said, will likely be a one-term president, according to a person familiar with the discussion, with Thiel predicting that there would be a major financial catastrophe in the next four years.

 

Even with his low expectations and his views on possible failure, Thiel hasn’t completely hidden his disappointment. At an event in May in San Francisco, he was described by one guest who was in attendance as “annoyed” with the first months of Trump’s presidency. With little policy being established by the White House, Thiel worried that the the next four years would be defined by stagnation and stressed the notion that he didn’t think Trump would be reelected.

 

In describing the administration, Thiel used one defining word in front of his guests: “incompetent.”

And while Thiel refused to confirm the claims of BuzzFeed's anonymous sources, leaving some level on doubt as to their accuracy, he also refused to deny them.

"The night he won the election, I said President Trump would face an awesomely difficult task,” Thiel said in a statement. "Today it's clear that resistance to change in Washington, D.C. has been even fiercer than I anticipated. We still need change. I support President Trump in his ongoing fight to achieve it.”

What a difference a year makes...

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